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What Causes What
Lifestyle & environment

Aerobic exercise

min / week

Walking, jogging, or other aerobic sessions with a set intensity and a weekly minutes target. Trials assign that work, not daily steps or lifting.

The SMILE trials put people on a treadmill at 70 to 85 percent of heart-rate reserve. Yu used outdoor walking at the WHO minimums: 150 minutes of moderate work or 75 minutes of vigorous work. That prescribed aerobic work is the variable. Strength sessions, incidental step counts, and calling yourself an active person are different measures.

Also called aerobic training, walking program, cardio, supervised exercise.

Connected relationships

MECHANISM0 NULL

Randomized trial · Moderate

Aerobic exercise→Insulin resistance (HOMA-IR)

A rise in Aerobic exercise does not identify a change in Insulin resistance (HOMA-IR).

In 48 Glasgow adults, a 12-week pedometer program that added about 3,000 steps a day on five days a week did not change fasting insulin or glucose against a no-change walking control.

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MECHANISM− DECREASES

Randomized trial · Moderate

Aerobic exercise→Depression

Higher Aerobic exercise decreases Depression.

Prescribed walking or jogging reduced depression scores in randomized trials of people with major depression. The programs looked similar to sertraline. Against a placebo pill, SMILE II's HAM-D gap did not reach significance. A year later, assigned arm no longer predicted mood.

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SMOKE− DECREASES

Observational · Low

Aerobic exercise→All-cause mortality

Higher Aerobic exercise decreases All-cause mortality.

Martinez-Gomez 2024 pooled 2,011,186 adults in four megacohorts and found that meeting recommended leisure-time activity tracked a 22 percent lower all-cause death rate (hazard ratio 0.78, 0.77 to 0.79). Nobody randomized walking against death.

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Sources